Bet365 Gold Cup Chase Preview
Sandown Park’s jumps
finale meeting is heralded as the swansong to the National Hunt season.
Previously boasting a dual purpose card with both flat and jumps races, the
action now solely revolves around the larger obstacles. The £150,000 purse
attracts the top division of seasoned, staying handicappers that have contested
some of the more prestigious events that season. Due to its position on the
calendar, the race can often spring a surprise, especially given its marathon
trip of 3m5 ½ furlongs. However, its illustrious role of honour has recently
been blessed with names such as Monkerhostin, Tidal Bay and dual winner
Ad
Hoc, proving that it is no easy race to win. Sandown Park is a notoriously
difficult jumping track, made evermore testing by its merciless uphill finish.
The combination of accuracy and bravery is required in abundance. Weight is
certainly a crucial factor in this race, as with the exception of Tidal Bay, no
horse in the last 7 runnings has won carrying in excess of 11 stone. With
horses heralding from the largest yards in Britain, negotiating 24 fences, it
is again set to be a joyous spectacle.
The classy yet enigmatic Tidal Bay, beating Roalco De Farges in the 2012 running. |
The logical starting
point would be with top weight Houblon
Des Obeaux. Venitia Williams’s gelding is allotted a mammoth weight of
11-12, the same as Tidal Bay carried to victory in 2012. Tidal Bay won off a mark of 160, beating Roalco De Farges (whom is back this year) by 15 lengths. After
finishing last of 6 at Aintree, Houblon Des Obeaux returns on 158. Although
this 2lb margin doesn’t seem impossible, Tidal Bay is rated 171 at best,
whereas Houblon Des Obeaux only 159. This shows how much he has to find. Although
he has performed creditably on numerous occasions this season, being a dual
winner, it is safe to say Houblon Des Obeaux would need to find significant
improvement to win here. It is also wise to note that although he has been
taking on much superior opposition; his jumping is often a subject of concern.
A tactic often employed by his jockey is to ensure the horse has a clear view
of the obstacles- in such a competitive and busy handicap; this may be an
impossible task to complete. He also has little course experience, his only run
at Sandown being 3rd to Captain
Conan last year. Venitia Williams is not afraid to take on the big boys,
having been successful countless times in events similar to this. Her
tremendous record this term stands her in good stead, yet Houblon Des Obeaux
looks up against it.
Same Difference is currently favourite for the race off the back
of an encouraging run in the Kim Muir at Cheltenham. Spring Heeled won that day, who re-opposes here. 2nd to Quentin Collognes last year carrying
11-7, Same Difference looks to have a fighting chance. Spring Heeled is gifted
the weight of 11-3 after his Cheltenham exertions whereas Same Difference
carries only 10-5. On this evidence, he must surely be seriously considered and
would be my pick of the two. However, he’s not always the most reliable, so you
would be taking a chance with him. Nigel Twiston-Davies has obviously framed
this as a target and having missed Aintree, he should be in the form of his
life for another bold bid.
Same Difference (right) finishing a gallant 2nd to Quentin Collognes in the race last year. |
Summery Justice is another of Venitia Williams’s battalions and
I think he could have slipped under the radar on this occasion. He finished a
staying on 5th to Al Co
last time in the Scottish Grand National and has been a model of consistency
this season. He’s done connections proud in a number of staying events, such as
when 4th to Goulanes in
the Midlands Grand National and when beating Burton Port at Newbury by 7 lengths. He’s currently 33-1 and has
only gone up 2lb for his performance at Ayr. Although doubts remain whether the
Scottish endeavour took too much out of Summery Justice, many horses in the
field have the same problem. He’s relatively lightly raced in comparison to
others’ in his yard and I think he has a great e/w chance.
If ever a race was
made for a horse, you’d have to say Any
Currency would love this challenge. Often lazy horses plug on through
beaten ones and climb to a last gasp victory in this race, most notably Poker De Sivola 3 years ago. Any
Currency ran right up to his best last time out, failing by a nose to the
gallant Balthazar King in the cross
country race at Cheltenham. This form has been franked as Balthazar King
finished 2nd in the Grand National and 4th placed Duke of Lucca also won at Aintree. This
is rock solid form. Any Currency’s record at the track reads: 815343, and for a
quirky horse this has to be admired. Again, he’s not the most reliable but has
proved himself in this contest previously when 3rd to Tidal Bay. It’s
safe to say that was one of the strongest renewals for years and he’s another I
like with a feather weight, 10-0.
Caroline Keevil had
one of her best days as a trainer in the Betbright chase at Kempton when her
stable star Bally Legend came
home in front. In doing so, he beat Paul Nicholls’s Bury Parade by 1 ¼ lengths. He is another consistent performer who
has really put himself on the map this season, and to think Bury Parade carries
12lb more and is half the price of Bally Legend, I see him as potential value
in the race. Surely this shows trainer bias as I’m sure if Bally Legend was
with a more popular yard; his price would reflect his chances more
realistically. His regular rider Ian Popham has the choice between him and Any Currency however, and one would
guess he would steer towards the latter. Obviously Bally Legend has more to
find, as do many of these, but I thought he was an interesting contender,
although his lack of experience at Sandown is a concern.
The hugely likeable Bally Legend winning at Kempton (centre), beating Bury Parade (right). |
VERDICT:
Although boring, Same Difference looks to have the well-supported
chance, taking into consideration his course form, weight and season record. ANY CURRENCY is my pick for the
race, if he is on song he should post another good effort and I think it could
be his for the taking and finally a day in the sun for him and his unlucky
connections. His price is also quite reasonable but he’s still a risky horse to
be tying your flag to the mast with. Summery
Justice and Bally Legend are
currently 20-1 and 33-1, both of whom I would give an e/w chance. Red hot form! Any Currency (centre) finishing 2nd to Balthazar King (left) and Duke of Lucca (right). |